Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union
Steve Mohr
Jianliang Wang
James Ward
Damien Giurco
1.The University of Newcastle,University Drive,Callaghan,NSW 2308,Australia2.School of Business Administration,China University of Petroleum,Beijing,China3.Engineering and the Environment,University of South Australia,Mawson Lakes Campus,Mawson Lakes Boulevard,Mawson Lakes,SA 5095,Australia4.Institute for Sustainable Futures,University of Technology Sydney,UTS Building 10,235 Jones St.,Ultimo,NSW 2007,Australia
摘要：Detailed projections of the Former Soviet Union (FSU) fossil fuel production has been created.Russian pro-duction has been modelled at the region (oblast) level where possible.The projections were made using the Geologic Resource Supply-Demand Model (GeRS-DeMo).Low,Best Guess and High scenarios were created.FSU fossil fuels are projected to peak between 2027 and 2087 with the range due to spread of Ultimately Recoverable Resources (URR) values used.The Best Guess (BG) scenario anticipates FSU will peak in 2087 with production over 170 EJ per year.The FSU projections were combined with rest of the world projections (Mohr et al.2015b),the emissions from the High scenario for the world are similar to the IPCC A1 AIM scenario.
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论文发表日期：2021-12-28
在线出版日期：2025-08-15（本平台首次上网日期，不代表文献的发表时间）
页数：19( 1208-1226 )
英文信息