The Valvular Heart Disease-specific Age-adjusted Comorbi-dity Index(VHD-ACI)score in patients with moderate or se-vere valvular heart disease
Mu-Rong XIE1
Bin ZHANG1
Yun-Qing YE1
Zhe LI1
Qing-Rong LIU1
Zhen-Yan ZHAO1
Jun-Xing LV1
De-Jing FENG1
Qing-Hao ZHAO1
Hai-Tong ZHANG1
Zhen-Ya DUAN1
Bin-Cheng WANG1
Shuai GUO1
Yan-Yan ZHAO2
Run-Lin GAO1
Hai-Yan XU1
Yong-Jian WU1
1.Department of Cardiology,Fuwai Hospital,National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases,Chinese Academy of Medic-al Sciences & Peking Union Medical College,Beijing,China2.Medical Research & Biometrics Center,Fuwai Hospital,National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases,Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College,Beijing,China
摘要：Background Based on the China-VHD database,this study sought to develop and validate a Valvular Heart Disease-specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index(VHD-ACI)for predicting mortality risk in patients with VHD.
Methods & Results The China-VHD study was a nationwide,multi-centre multi-centre cohort study enrolling 13,917 patients with moderate or severe VHD across 46 medical centres in China between April-June 2018.After excluding cases with missing key variables,11,459 patients were retained for final analysis.The primary endpoint was 2-year all-cause mortality,with 941 deaths(10.0％)observed during follow-up.The VHD-ACI was derived after identifying 13 independent mortality predictors:car-diomyopathy,myocardial infarction,chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,pulmonary artery hypertension,low body weight,anaemia,hypoalbuminaemia,renal insufficiency,moderate/severe hepatic dysfunction,heart failure,cancer,NYHA functional class and age.The index exhibited good discrimination(AUC,0.79)and calibration(Brier score,0.062)in the total cohort,outper-forming both EuroSCORE Ⅱ and ACCI(P＜0.001 for comparison).Internal validation through 100 bootstrap iterations yielded a C statistic of 0.694(95％CI:0.665-0.723)for 2-year mortality prediction.VHD-ACI scores,as a continuous variable(VHD-ACI score:adjusted HR(95％CI):1.263(1.245-1.282),P＜0.001)or categorized using thresholds determined by the Yoden index(VHD-ACI ≥ 9 vs.＜9,adjusted HR(95％CI):6.216(5.378-7.184),P＜0.001),were independently associated with mortality.The pro-gnostic performance remained consistent across all VHD subtypes(aortic stenosis,aortic regurgitation,mitral stenosis,mitral re-gurgitation,tricuspid valve disease,mixed aortic/mitral valve disease and multiple VHD),and clinical subgroups stratified by therapeutic strategy,LVEF status(preserved vs.reduced),disease severity and etiology.
Conclusion The VHD-ACI is a simple 13-comorbidity algorithm for the prediction of mortality in VHD patients and providing a simple and rapid tool for risk stratification.
机标关键词：specificheartscoreindexwithage-adjustedcomorbi-ditydisease
论文发表日期：2025-09-30
在线出版日期：2025-11-14（本平台首次上网日期，不代表文献的发表时间）
页数：16( 759-774 )